UFC Vegas 42: Sean Woodson vs. Collin Anglin breakdown, betting odds
Sean Woodson, 29 years old, is 8-1 as a professional; and, after earning a contract from Dana White’s Contender Series in 2019, is 2-1 in the UFC. Three of his eight wins have come by finish and his sole loss was via submission. Collin Anglin, one year younger, is 8-2 as a professional and also earned a contract from DWCS. He is 0-1 in the UFC with a knockout loss. Five of Anglin’s eight wins, however, have come by knockout.
Woodson vs. Anglin Betting Odds
Woodson is a sizeable favorite Saturday night against Anglin.
- Woodson: -320
- Anglin: +260
Woodson vs. Anglin Breakdown
Woodson is a young but technical striker. He primarily boxes and keeps a bounce in his step that few other boxing-focused UFC fighters implement. This bounce allows him to stick and move quickly and effectively. This approach is important for Woodson because he does not have much power; instead, as his nickname “The Sniper” indicates, he looks to piece his opponents up from range. Woodson lands on average, 5.3 significant strikes per minute and absorbs nearly 4. In his last fight, we saw Woodson implement more leg kicks into his game which only help him keep opponents at the end of his strikes where they struggle to return fire. Woodson has shown a vulnerability against fighters who can close the distance and make the Glory MMA fighter stand in the pocket and exchange. Woodson is adept, though, at exiting the pocket without getting caught in a firefight or getting taken down. When the fight is at range, Woodson is comfortable and successful; but, when in close, he can struggle against heavy pressure.
Anglin is someone who likes to put pressure on. He moves forward with an almost reckless abandon, minimal regard for his own chin. In his debut, facing someone who prefers to take his time and counter his opponent, Anglin still ate 44 significant strikes at a 55% clip before he was dropped and finished. To Anglin’s credit though, he faced someone with great power for the division. When facing average power, Anglin’s tendency to walk through shots has proved successful. Professionally, Anglin has a positive strike differential and a high output. This means Anglin relies on his, typically strong, chin to absorb strikes and land more in return. Once he closes the distance, absorbing and landing shots, he looks for the takedown. Anglin averages 2.7 takedowns per fight at an 80% success rate. His pressure heavy style may not be refined but it can be successful when his cardio stays intact.
Woodson vs. Anglin Prediction
Once again, as seems to be frequent on this card, I’m surprised by the Vegas line. Stylistically, Anglin has the chin, pressure, and wrestling to give Woodson fits. But, with Anglin’s cardio struggles and Woodson’s stick and move boxing, I see Woodson being able to stay upright and keep Anglin on the outside enough to piece him up for three rounds.
Prediction: Woodson by decision