TLDR
- Lerryan Douglas is the betting favorite at -325; Julian Erosa is the underdog at +260.
- Douglas is making his UFC debut after a 36-second knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series.
- Erosa is 36 years old with a 31-13 record and holds a 2.5-inch reach advantage.
- Douglas lands 11.67 significant strikes per minute and connects at 87% accuracy.
- Erosa is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Melquizael Costa in May 2025.
Main Event Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya | -142 |
| Joe Pyfer | +120 |
Full Card Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | +160 | Maycee Barber | -192 |
| Michael Chiesa | -900 | Carlston Harris | +600 |
| Julian Erosa | +280 | Lerryan Douglas | -355 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | -135 | Yousri Belgaroui | +114 |
| Terrance McKinney | -170/-185 | Kyle Nelson | +142/+154 |
Fight Time
| Time Zone | Time |
|---|---|
| ET (New York) | 8:00 PM Saturday |
| CT (Chicago) | 7:00 PM Saturday |
| MT (Denver) | 6:00 PM Saturday |
| PT (Seattle/LA) | 5:00 PM Saturday |
| GMT (London) | 1:00 AM Sunday |
| AEST (Sydney) | 12:00 PM Sunday |
Prelims start at approximately 5:00 PM ET. The event streams live on Paramount+.
Only ONE more sleep in Seattle 😴@Stylebender vs Joe Pyfer@AlexaGrasso vs @MayceeBarber 2
[ #UFCSeattle | TOMORROW 8pmET on @ParamountPlus ] pic.twitter.com/FHC4mN6718
— UFC (@ufc) March 28, 2026
Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas – UFC Seattle Odds, Prediction & Fight Breakdown
Julian Erosa and Lerryan Douglas meet in a featherweight bout at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The fight takes place at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington.
Douglas enters as the clear betting favorite at -325 across most sportsbooks. Erosa is listed at +260 as the underdog.
Erosa is 36 years old with a professional record of 31-13. He has been with the UFC since 2018 and has built a reputation as a finisher, with an 84% finishing rate.
Douglas is 30 years old and carries a record of 13-5. He is making his UFC debut after earning his contract on Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2025.
Douglas knocked out Cam Teague in just 36 seconds on the Contender Series. That finish was the seventh-fastest in DWCS history.
Erosa holds a reach advantage, measuring 74.5 inches compared to Douglas’s 72 inches. Erosa is also three inches taller at 6’1″ versus Douglas’s 5’9″.
Striking Stats
Douglas is the far more active and accurate striker by the numbers. He lands 11.67 significant strikes per minute at 87% accuracy, compared to Erosa’s 6.21 strikes per minute at 48% accuracy.
Erosa absorbs 6.27 significant strikes per minute, while Douglas absorbs 5.00. Douglas also defends 66% of strikes thrown his way, compared to Erosa’s 48%.
Grappling and Experience
Erosa is the stronger grappler and holds a major experience edge. He has competed in 44 professional fights and is known for his guillotine choke, finishing both Ricardo Ramos and Christian Rodriguez with it in back-to-back bouts.
Douglas has shown limited ground game on film. His takedown defense sits at just 15%, which could be a concern against Erosa’s submission game.
Erosa’s last fight was a unanimous decision loss to Melquizael Costa in May 2025. Costa landed 128 of 236 total strikes in that fight.
Douglas enters on a five-fight winning streak. His average fight time is just 36 seconds, while Erosa’s is 7 minutes and 59 seconds.
Both fighters weigh in at 145 lbs for this featherweight contest.
Douglas is the younger, fresher fighter with more recent momentum. Erosa brings more experience and a deeper submission arsenal to the cage.
The under 1.5 rounds is priced at -154, reflecting the expectation that this fight ends early.
