TLDR
- Maycee Barber is a -188 to -190 favorite; Alexa Grasso is a +146 to +150 underdog
- Barber is on a seven-fight win streak; her last loss was to Grasso in February 2021
- Grasso is 0-2-1 in her last three fights after her title run
- Most analysts predict Barber wins by decision
- The fight takes place Saturday, March 28, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle
Main Event Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya | -142 |
| Joe Pyfer | +120 |
Full Card Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | +160 | Maycee Barber | -192 |
| Michael Chiesa | -900 | Carlston Harris | +600 |
| Julian Erosa | +280 | Lerryan Douglas | -355 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | -135 | Yousri Belgaroui | +114 |
| Terrance McKinney | -170/-185 | Kyle Nelson | +142/+154 |
Fight Time
| Time Zone | Time |
|---|---|
| ET (New York) | 8:00 PM Saturday |
| CT (Chicago) | 7:00 PM Saturday |
| MT (Denver) | 6:00 PM Saturday |
| PT (Seattle/LA) | 5:00 PM Saturday |
| GMT (London) | 1:00 AM Sunday |
| AEST (Sydney) | 12:00 PM Sunday |
Prelims start at approximately 5:00 PM ET. The event streams live on Paramount+.
Only ONE more sleep in Seattle 😴@Stylebender vs Joe Pyfer@AlexaGrasso vs @MayceeBarber 2
[ #UFCSeattle | TOMORROW 8pmET on @ParamountPlus ] pic.twitter.com/FHC4mN6718
— UFC (@ufc) March 28, 2026
Barber Enters as Favorite in UFC Seattle Co-Main Event
Alexa Grasso and Maycee Barber meet for the second time this Saturday, March 28, 2026, at UFC Seattle inside Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington. The fight is the co-main event of the evening.
Barber is the betting favorite at -188 to -190 across major sportsbooks. Grasso is listed as the underdog at +146 to +150.
Their first fight took place in February 2021. Grasso won that bout by decision. Since then, the two fighters have gone in very different directions.
Barber has not lost since that defeat. She has won seven straight fights, with recent wins over Karine Silva, Katlyn Cerminara, Amanda Ribas, Andrea Lee, and Jessica Eye.
Grasso had a high point in May 2023, when she submitted Valentina Shevchenko to win the UFC women’s flyweight title. Since then, she has gone 0-2-1, with losses to Shevchenko and Natalia Silva.
What Each Fighter Brings
Grasso is known for clean boxing and good footwork. In the first fight, she controlled the first two rounds using straight punches and movement.
Barber struggled with distance in the first fight. By round three, she began to take over with fence work and ground-and-pound, but it was not enough to win.
Since 2021, Barber has improved her striking at range. She now uses jabs and kicks more effectively and pursues the clinch and takedowns with more intent.
Grasso’s wrestling has also improved since she moved up from strawweight. However, her last performance against Natalia Silva looked flat, according to analysts.
Barber has a finishing rate of 53% compared to Grasso’s 38%. Barber also holds a +1.68 significant strikes landed per minute differential since their first fight, versus +0.68 for Grasso.
Decision Favored as Most Likely Outcome
The over/under for total rounds sits at 2.5. The over is heavily favored at -500, pointing to a likely decision.
Barber by decision is available at +100 to +115. That reflects both fighters’ durability and tendency to go the full 15 minutes.
Grasso by decision is priced at +185 to +200.
Most analysts picking this fight favor Barber to win by decision, citing her win streak, improved skills, and Grasso’s recent form.
Grasso is 32 and holds a 16-5-1 record. Barber is 27 with a 15-2 record. Both fighters stand 5-foot-5.
