TLDR
- Andre Fili enters UFC Vegas 122 with three losses in his last four fights, including a TKO defeat in June
- Kai Kamaka III is coming off a first-round TKO loss in July after beating Dakota Hope in April
- Fili holds a five-inch reach advantage and opens as the betting favorite at -148
- Kamaka has below 60% career takedown defense, giving Fili potential grappling opportunities
- Both fighters are competing on the main card of UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan
Sources: sports.betmgm.com | clutchpoints.com
Andre Fili will face Kai Kamaka III on the main card of UFC Vegas 122 this Saturday night in Las Vegas. Both featherweight veterans are desperate for victories after recent losing streaks.
Fili enters the bout with a record of 25-14 overall and 13-13 in the UFC. He has lost three of his last four fights, including a second-round TKO defeat to Vinicius Oliveira in June.
UFC VEGAS 122 PREDICTIONS🥊
• Brendan Allen ML (By Finish)
• Matheus Camilo ML (By Finish)
• Ketlen Souza ML (By Dec)
• Andre Fili ML (By Dec)
• Otar Tanzilovi ML (By Finish)
• Gerald Meerschaert (By Finish)
• Francisco Prado ML (By Finish)
• Leon Shahbazyan ML (By Sub… pic.twitter.com/ypVqzqiCO1— PepMotion (@PepMotionn) October 8, 2026
Before that loss, Fili dropped a split decision to Jose Delgado in March. The 34-year-old veteran needs a win to avoid falling further down the featherweight rankings.
Kamaka III brings an 18-8-1 record into the fight with a 2-3 mark inside the UFC octagon. He suffered a first-round TKO loss to Luke Riley in July, halting momentum from his split-decision victory over Dakota Hope in April.
Betting Lines Favor Fili
The betting odds from DraftKings list Fili as the favorite at -148. Kamaka III comes in as the underdog at +124.
The over/under for the fight is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over priced at -180 and the under at +140. These odds suggest bookmakers expect the fight to reach the judges’ scorecards.
Fili holds a five-inch reach advantage over his opponent, which could prove important in controlling distance. His ability to use his jab and maintain range may determine the outcome of the fight.
Kamaka’s career takedown defense sits below 60%, which presents potential opportunities for Fili to mix in wrestling. However, Fili will need to avoid extended brawling exchanges where his reach advantage becomes less effective.
Fighting Styles and Strategies
Kamaka absorbs more strikes per minute than Fili, according to UFC statistics. This could create openings for the veteran to land counters when Kamaka presses forward.
Kamaka has stated he plans to apply pressure and close the distance against Fili. His strategy involves cutting off the cage and forcing shorter exchanges where Fili’s length becomes less of a factor.
Attacking Fili’s legs early could slow his movement and make it harder for him to maintain separation. This approach would allow Kamaka to advance behind punching combinations more safely.
Fili’s recent stoppage loss raises questions about his durability at this stage of his career. Both fighters have shown vulnerabilities in their recent performances, making this a competitive matchup between two fighters who need wins.
The bout takes place on the main card of UFC Vegas 122, which is headlined by a fight between Allen and Duncan. Both Fili and Kamaka III will look to use this platform to get back into the win column and avoid extended losing streaks in the featherweight division.
