TLDR
- Loopy Godinez (14-6) faces Ketlen Souza (17-6) at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday
- Godinez enters as the -230 favorite after losing to Tatiana Suarez in April
- Souza knocked out Ariane Carnelossi in 1:34 and seeks her third straight win
- Godinez’s wrestling ability gives her the tactical advantage over Souza’s striking
- Oddsmakers favor the fight to go over 2.5 rounds at -300
Sources: clutchpoints.com | sports.yahoo.com
Loopy Godinez will face Ketlen Souza in a strawweight division bout at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday. The fight appears on the main card of UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan.
Godinez enters the contest with a record of 14-6 overall and 9-6 in the UFC. She lost her last fight to Tatiana Suarez by second-round rear-naked choke in April.
UFC VEGAS 122 PREDICTIONS🥊
• Brendan Allen ML (By Finish)
• Matheus Camilo ML (By Finish)
• Ketlen Souza ML (By Dec)
• Andre Fili ML (By Dec)
• Otar Tanzilovi ML (By Finish)
• Gerald Meerschaert (By Finish)
• Francisco Prado ML (By Finish)
• Leon Shahbazyan ML (By Sub… pic.twitter.com/ypVqzqiCO1— PepMotion (@PepMotionn) October 8, 2026
The loss ended a two-fight winning streak for Godinez. In August, she defeated former champion Jessica Andrade by unanimous decision before the setback against Suarez.
Souza brings a 17-6 record and 4-3 UFC mark into Saturday’s matchup. She finished Ariane Carnelossi with punches and a head kick in just 1:34 of the opening round in June.
Before that knockout victory, Souza beat Bruna Brasil by unanimous decision in February. She now looks for her third consecutive win on Saturday night.
Betting Lines Favor Godinez’s Wrestling
Bookmakers list Godinez as the -230 favorite according to BetOnline. Souza enters as the +193 underdog in the contest.
The over/under sits at 2.5 rounds, with the over priced at -300. The under carries +247 odds.
Godinez’s wrestling ability appears to be the primary factor in the odds. She has used her grappling to control opponents throughout her UFC career.
Her defensive striking numbers show she blocks sixty-two percent of incoming strikes across her UFC appearances. That defense could help her avoid Souza’s power shots while closing distance.
Souza’s recent knockout victory demonstrated her finishing ability at range. She has stated she expects Godinez to wrestle and plans to defend takedowns before countering with strikes.
Tactical Battle Between Styles
The fight presents a classic grappler versus striker matchup. Godinez needs to mix her punches with takedown attempts rather than shooting from outside range.
Short combinations could create openings for Godinez to establish clinches. From there, she can attack takedowns before Souza sets her feet for counter strikes.
Souza’s path to victory requires making wrestling entries costly for Godinez. Maintaining space with straight punches would force Godinez to shoot from farther away.
Godinez has faced stronger overall competition during her UFC run. That experience could help her stay composed if Souza lands clean shots early.
Souza must circle away from the fence and maintain balance after throwing combinations. This positioning would give her better opportunities to counter rather than defending from her back.
Analysts expect Godinez to win by decision if she can avoid rushing entries after difficult exchanges. Her wrestling advantage should become decisive if she maintains balance throughout the fight.
The bout takes place Saturday as part of the UFC Vegas 122 main card. Oddsmakers favor the fight to go the full distance based on the -300 price for over 2.5 rounds.
