TLDR
- Tai Tuivasa (-218) is a heavy favorite over Louie Sutherland (+180) at UFC Perth on May 2, 2026
- Tuivasa is on a six-fight losing streak but faces a short-notice opponent on a two-fight skid
- Sutherland accepted the fight on less than one week’s notice after suffering his first career KO loss at UFC London
- The main event is Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates in a welterweight bout at RAC Arena in Perth
- US fans face an early morning start: main card begins at 7 a.m. ET / 4 a.m. PT
UFC Perth Card Odds
Fight Time
| Time Zone | Prelims | Main Card | Expected Main Event Walkouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| ET (Eastern) | 4:00 AM | 7:00 AM | ~10:00 AM |
| PT (Pacific) | 1:00 AM | 4:00 AM | ~7:00 AM |
| AWST (Perth/Local) | 4:00 PM | 7:00 PM | ~10:00 PM |
Event streams on ESPN+ (P+). Venue: RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia.
In Aussie territory 🇦🇺#UFCPerth Fight Card!
[ May 2 | 7amET | LIVE on @ParamountPlus ] pic.twitter.com/ODvYNsZT3W
— UFC (@ufc) May 2, 2026
Tai Tuivasa is a -218 favorite heading into his heavyweight bout against Louie Sutherland at UFC Perth on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Sutherland comes back at +180.
Tuivasa (14-9) is currently on a six-fight losing streak. His last loss came by unanimous decision to Tallison Teixeira at UFC 325 in January 2026.
Despite the skid, his losses have come against high-level opponents including Sergei Pavlovich, Cyril Gane, Derrick Lewis, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Sutherland represents a step down in competition.
Sutherland (10-5) accepted this fight on less than one week’s notice. He is coming off back-to-back UFC losses, most recently a first-round KO defeat to Brando Pericic at UFC London last month.
That London loss marked the first knockout of Sutherland’s career. He is walking into hostile territory, fighting in Tuivasa’s home country.
Both fighters weigh in at 264 lbs. Sutherland has a slight edge in height (6’3″ vs. 6’2″) and reach (76″ vs. 75″).
Striking Stats
In terms of striking, Sutherland lands 3.75 significant strikes per minute compared to Tuivasa’s 3.66. Sutherland also has a higher accuracy rate at 52% vs. Tuivasa’s 48%.
However, Sutherland absorbs 7.50 significant strikes per minute, nearly double Tuivasa’s 4.97. Tuivasa also defends 43% of strikes thrown at him, while Sutherland defends just 22%.
The Short-Notice Factor
Sutherland had roughly a week to prepare for this fight. Short-notice bouts in the heavyweight division carry extra risk when facing a knockout puncher like Tuivasa.
Tuivasa fights in front of his home crowd at RAC Arena in Perth. He is known for drawing strong crowd support in Australia.
The round betting sits at Over 1.5 rounds (-125) and Under 1.5 rounds (-105), reflecting the realistic chance this ends early.
The main event above them features former UFC Welterweight Champion Jack Della Maddalena (-102) against Carlos Prates (-118). Della Maddalena lost his belt to Islam Makhachev at UFC 322 last November.
Prates has won all six of his UFC fights by KO or TKO. His most recent win came over former champion Leon Edwards at UFC 322.
This is the first UFC Perth event to air in a primetime slot for Australian viewers. Prelims start at 4 p.m. local time, with the main card at 7 p.m. AWST.
Tuivasa has stated his intent to put on a strong performance for his hometown fans. Sutherland, for his part, said short notice is just part of the job at heavyweight.
The most recent odds from DraftKings have Tuivasa at -218 and Sutherland at +180 for their heavyweight matchup.
