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    Home»UFC»UFC Odds»UFC Sacramento: Judice Opens as Heavy Favorite Over Unbeaten Chaves
    UFC Odds

    UFC Sacramento: Judice Opens as Heavy Favorite Over Unbeaten Chaves

    Carli Judice enters as a heavy favorite against unbeaten Jeisla Chaves in women's flyweight action at UFC Sacramento on Saturday night.
    Sebastian BergmanBy Sebastian BergmanAugust 22, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read

    TLDR

    • Carli Judice (6-2) faces Jeisla Chaves (7-0) in women’s flyweight action at UFC Sacramento on Saturday
    • Judice is riding a three-fight win streak with four of her six career wins coming by finish
    • Chaves remains undefeated but struggled to a split decision in her UFC debut against Yuneisy Duben
    • Judice previously knocked out Duben with a head kick, the same fighter Chaves narrowly defeated
    • Judice opens as a heavy -550 favorite with the fight expected to end before the final bell

    Sources: clutchpoints.com | sports.betmgm.com | mmamania.com

    Carli Judice will put her three-fight winning streak on the line against undefeated Jeisla Chaves this Saturday at UFC Sacramento. The women’s flyweight bout is scheduled for the main card at Golden 1 Center in California.

    Judice enters the contest with a 6-2 record and four finishes to her name. She most recently earned a unanimous decision victory over Juliana Miller in February 2026.

    Before that win, Judice stopped Nicolle Caliari with a third-round TKO at UFC 318 in July 2025. The finish came via knee and punches.

    Chaves Brings Perfect Record to Sacramento

    Chaves arrives in Sacramento with an unblemished 7-0 professional record. She made her UFC debut in June 2026 with a split decision win over Yuneisy Duben.

    That victory came after Chaves earned her UFC contract through the Contender Series in September 2025. Her background includes working as a ring card girl before pursuing fighting full-time.

    The head-to-head comparison between the two fighters centers on their common opponent. Judice knocked out Duben with a head kick, while Chaves needed all three rounds and a split decision to get past the same fighter.

    Latest updated card for #UFCSacramento by @3KFighting 👊🏼 pic.twitter.com/eQN1yyhJ5l

    — 3KFighting (@3KFighting) August 17, 2026

    Odds makers have installed Judice as a heavy favorite at -550. Chaves comes back at +410 for the upset.

    The over/under for the fight sits at 2.5 rounds, with the under priced at +120. That suggests oddsmakers expect a finish before the final bell.


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    Power Versus Perfection

    Judice has finished four of her six career victories. Her knockout power gives her a path to victory against any opponent in the division.

    Chaves has shown a more balanced approach to winning. Her seven victories include both knockouts and decisions, giving her multiple ways to secure a win.

    The fight takes place as part of a card headlined by Anthony Hernandez versus Gregory Rodrigues in the middleweight division. The co-main event features Serghei Spivac against Vitor Petrino at heavyweight.

    This marks UFC’s first trip to Northern California since 2019. That event was headlined by Germaine de Randamie versus Aspen Ladd.

    The main card also includes Reinier de Ridder versus Roman Dolidze, MarQuel Mederos versus Mason Jones, and Anthony Wint versus Terrance Chatman. The prelims are headlined by Jamall Emmers versus Lerryan Douglas.

    Judice’s recent form shows improved consistency over her last three fights. She has not suffered a loss since her 6-2 record began taking shape.

    Chaves faced real pressure in her UFC debut despite the victory. The split decision indicated judges saw the fight differently, with at least one scoring it for Duben.

    The Sacramento crowd will witness whether Chaves can maintain her perfect record or if Judice’s power will hand her a first career defeat. Four of Judice’s six wins have come inside the distance.

    Both fighters compete in the women’s flyweight division, which currently features rising contenders looking to break into title contention. The winner will move closer to ranked opposition in future matchups.

    The fight will air on Paramount+ as part of the main card beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, August 22, 2026.

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    Sebastian Bergman
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    Sebastian is a seasoned sports journalist with a focus on MMA, boxing, and grappling. Having trained in BJJ & boxing, he brings a unique perspective that blends the insight of a journalist, the passion of a spectator, and the experience of a practitioner. His deep understanding of combat sports allows him to deliver informed, engaging coverage from every angle of the fight game.

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