UFC Fight Night 195 Predictions: Ludovit Klein vs. Nate Landwehr betting odds, analysis
Even though Ludovit Klein is only 26-years-old, he has 20 professional fights. “Mr. Highlight” is 17-3 with 8 knockouts and 8 submission wins. In the UFC, Klein is 1-1 with a knockout win and a decision loss.
Nate Landwehr, 33, has a 14-4 professional record and is 1-2 in the UFC. “The Train” has eight knockout wins but has not finished an opponent in the UFC; instead, he was knocked out in the first round in each of his losses.
Klein vs. Landwehr betting odds
Klein is the largest favorite on the card, meaning that Landwehr will also step in as the biggest underdog at UFC Fight Night 195.
- Klein: -350
- Landwehr: +275
Klein vs. Landwehr breakdown
Klein is incredibly talented but still has lessons to learn despite his octagon experience. The main lesson Klein needs to learn, shown in his last fight, is striking defense. He is used to being the one to dish out punishment; but, in his last fight, Klein absorbed 56 of 104 significant strikes. Even in his loss though, we saw a lethal southpaw striker who has a dangerous combination of speed and power. On the feet, most of his attacks come from his power side, specifically his straight left hand and left high kick. Klein is not just an impressive offensive kickboxer, but, he is also a solid wrestler. He averages 3.7 takedowns per fight and lands 57% of them. While we haven’t yet seen it in the UFC, once on the ground Klein has an effective submission game. 8 of his wins have come by submission, most of which have been chokes. Whether on the feet or on the ground, Klein is a top-shelf prospect who can get the finish.
Landwehr, just like Klein, has shown to be hittable. But, even when he is being hit, Landwehr continues to throw and talk back to his opponent. This brawl and vocal style makes Landwehr a fan favorite. Unfortunately, though, it hasn’t resulted in a positive strike differential. In his three UFC fights, Landwehr absorbs 7.7 significant strikes per minute. But, as I said, Landwehr is a dog who keeps moving forward, talking to his opponent, and throwing back. His striking is a more boxing centered style where he plots forward with raw aggression as he swings big and hunts the finish. Landwehr’s preferred fight is a phone booth, toe to toe, brawl where each man is connecting with aggression and power. This type of fight can get sloppy and dangerous for Landwehr but always makes him a fun watch.
Klein vs. Landwehr prediction
I’m excited about this fight because that is exactly what Landwehr’s appearances are: fights. His path to victory is to pressure and smother Klein and force Klein into a dirty boxing match. While that strategy is possible in theory, I don’t see it working in reality. Before Landwehr can close the distance, Klein’s speed and technique should allow him to tag Landwehr often. Then, if Landwehr does withstand the left hand and kick of Klein, once in tight, Klein has the advantage in grappling and wrestling. At range or in tight, Klein should get the finish.
Prediction: Klein inside the distance