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    Home»UFC»UFC Odds»UFC Vegas 118: Fares Ziam Opens as Heavy Favorite Over Tom Nolan
    UFC Odds

    UFC Vegas 118: Fares Ziam Opens as Heavy Favorite Over Tom Nolan

    Ranked lightweight Fares Ziam puts his six-fight win streak on the line against rising prospect Tom Nolan at UFC Vegas 118 on Saturday, June 6.
    Sebastian BergmanBy Sebastian BergmanJune 6, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read

    TLDR

    • Fares Ziam (18-4) enters ranked #15 on a six-fight win streak with recent wins over Mike Davis and Nazim Sadykhov
    • Tom Nolan (10-1) rides a four-fight UFC winning streak including a submission win over Charlie Campbell
    • Ziam is listed as a -325 favorite with Nolan at +260 underdog odds at DraftKings
    • The fight takes place on the main card of UFC Vegas 118 at the UFC Apex on Saturday, June 6
    • Ziam has six knockout wins and elite grappling while Nolan holds a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt at age 26

    Sources: clutchpoints.com | actionnetwork.com

    Fares Ziam will put his six-fight winning streak on the line against rising Australian prospect Tom Nolan on the main card of UFC Vegas 118 this Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

    Ziam enters the bout ranked 15th in the UFC lightweight division with an 18-4 record. The French fighter has won six straight fights, most recently stopping Nazim Sadykhov with strikes after earning a unanimous decision over Mike Davis in January 2025.

    Nolan Brings Four-Fight Streak and Physical Advantages

    Nolan brings a 10-1 record and four-fight UFC winning streak into the matchup. The 26-year-old earned a decision over Viacheslav Borshchev at UFC 312 in February 2025, then submitted Charlie Campbell with a first-round rear naked choke at UFC Perth in September 2025.

    The Australian stands 6’3″ with a 73-inch reach, giving him a two-inch height advantage over the 6’1″ Ziam. Nolan recently earned his Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt and has five career knockout wins on his record.

    Oddsmakers have installed Ziam as a heavy favorite at -325, with Nolan listed at +260 according to DraftKings. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over priced at -210.

    Yessss!!! UFC Fight Night Can't wait Sunday pic.twitter.com/NvHFWeOAnK

    — Eduardo Albano (@Eduardo50141053) June 6, 2026

    Ziam has finished six opponents by knockout and possesses what analysts describe as elite grappling skills to complement his striking. He has trained at multiple gyms in the United States, including Kill Cliff FC and ONX Labs, working with fighters like Kamaru Usman and Justin Gaethje.

    Experience Gap Highlights Key Storyline

    The French fighter has faced and defeated ranked competition during his win streak, while Nolan continues to climb against unranked opponents. Ziam’s only UFC loss in his last seven fights came via rear naked choke to Terrance McKinney at the UFC Apex.

    Nolan averages 5.87 strikes landed per minute with 45% accuracy, while Ziam lands 2.87 strikes per minute at 52% accuracy. Defensively, Nolan absorbs 4.73 strikes per minute compared to Ziam’s 1.53.


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    The fight represents a step up in competition for Nolan, who has never faced a ranked opponent in his UFC career. His submission game poses a threat if he can close the distance and bring the fight to the mat.

    Ziam has developed a preference for high-crotch takedown variations that he transitions to from the clinch. The smaller octagon at the UFC Apex typically forces more clinch exchanges, which could favor Ziam’s Muay Thai background and elbow and knee work in close quarters.

    The bout is scheduled for 9:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, June 6, and will stream on Paramount+. Both fighters enter with takedown defense rates of 71%, though Ziam attempts more takedowns per fight at 1.73 compared to Nolan’s 0.74.

    Ziam holds a 2-2 record against southpaw opponents in the UFC, with wins over Alex Gorgees and Nazim Sadykhov. Nolan fights from a southpaw stance and relies on straight punches and rear-leg kicks as his primary striking weapons.

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    Sebastian Bergman
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    Sebastian is a seasoned sports journalist with a focus on MMA, boxing, and grappling. Having trained in BJJ & boxing, he brings a unique perspective that blends the insight of a journalist, the passion of a spectator, and the experience of a practitioner. His deep understanding of combat sports allows him to deliver informed, engaging coverage from every angle of the fight game.

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