TLDR
- Tai Tuivasa enters UFC 325 on a five-fight losing streak and is a +240 to +275 underdog against Tallison Teixeira
- Tallison Teixeira is favored at -300 to -345 despite being 1-1 in the UFC with a recent knockout loss to Derrick Lewis
- Teixeira holds major physical advantages at 6’7″ with 83-inch reach compared to Tuivasa’s 6’2″ frame and 75-inch reach
- The fight takes place January 31, 2026 at Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia as part of UFC 325
- Both fighters are knockout specialists with Tuivasa at 93% finish rate and Teixeira at 100%
UFC 325 Main Event Odds
Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes (Featherweight Championship)
- Alexander Volkanovski: TBD
- Diego Lopes: TBD
All UFC 325 Fight Odds
Main Card (9:30 p.m. ET)
Prelims (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Justin Tafa vs Billy Elekana (Heavyweight)
- Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage (Middleweight)
- Jacob Malkoun vs Torrez Finney (Middleweight)
- Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott (Welterweight)
Early Prelims (5:30 p.m. ET)
- Kaan Ofli vs Yi Zha (Featherweight)
- Kim Sang-wook vs Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight)
- Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sebastian Szalay (Featherweight)
- Sulangrangbo vs Lawrence Lui (Bantamweight)
- Aaron Tau vs Namsrai Batbayar (Flyweight)
Fight Time Information
Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Main Card Start: 9:30 p.m. ET / 6:30 p.m. PT / 1:30 a.m. GMT (Feb 1)
- Salkilld vs Mullarkey Walk Time: Approximately 9:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia
- Broadcast: Paramount+
Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira #UFC325 pic.twitter.com/8F7Ds7jNw1
— UFC Fans (@ufcfansfr) January 29, 2026
Tai Tuivasa faces Tallison Teixeira in a heavyweight bout at UFC 325 on January 31, 2026. The fight takes place at Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia. Tuivasa enters as the underdog despite fighting on home soil.
The 32-year-old Australian has struggled recently with five consecutive losses. His losing streak includes defeats to top heavyweights Ciryl Gane, Serghei Pavlovich, Alexander Volkov, Marcin Tybura, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Tuivasa hasn’t won since February 2022 when he was riding a five-fight winning streak.
Tuivasa’s most recent fight was a split decision loss to Rozenstruik in Perth, Australia. He was outstruck 92-37 in that bout. The veteran has a 14-8 overall record and has gone 8-8 during his UFC tenure since 2017.
Tallison Teixeira comes into the fight as a -300 to -345 favorite. The 26-year-old Brazilian stands 6’7″ with an 83-inch reach. This gives him a five-inch height advantage and eight-inch reach advantage over Tuivasa.
Teixeira holds an 8-1 record with a 1-1 UFC mark. He won his promotional debut with a first-round knockout of Justin Tafa at UFC 312 in Sydney. That victory took just 35 seconds and came via elbow strikes.
Physical Advantages Shape The Matchup
The size difference could play a major role in this heavyweight contest. Teixeira’s reach allows him to land kicks and punches from distance. Tuivasa stands at 6’2″ with a 75-inch reach and will need to close the gap to land his power shots.
Teixeira earned his UFC contract through Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2024. He knocked out Arthur Lopes to secure his deal. His UFC career hit a bump when Derrick Lewis knocked him out with a left hook in the first round of their July 2025 meeting.
Tuivasa specializes in wild exchanges and knockout power. He has a 93% finishing rate with 13 knockouts. His style relies on aggressive forward pressure and landing heavy punches in close quarters.
Betting Lines and Fight Analysis
The odds favor Teixeira to win by knockout at -165. Tuivasa’s path to victory is priced at +350 for a knockout finish. A decision victory for either fighter is considered unlikely with Tuivasa at +1500 and Teixeira at +1100 for that outcome.
The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds with the under at -298. This suggests oddsmakers expect an early finish. Both fighters have shown knockout power and neither is known for defensive skills or cardio.
Tuivasa needs to pressure Teixeira and land first in exchanges. His best chance comes from getting inside the Brazilian’s reach and landing combinations. Teixeira can control distance with push kicks and low kicks while looking for counter opportunities.
Recent Form and Context
Tuivasa looked tired in his last fight despite showing heart to continue swinging. His cardio remains a question mark heading into this bout. Fighting in front of his home crowd in Sydney could provide extra motivation after a year away from competition.
Teixeira brings youth and physical tools to the matchup. His limited UFC experience means questions remain about his defensive skills and cardio. The loss to Lewis showed he can be caught when rushing forward carelessly.
The fight ranks 15th versus 12th in the heavyweight division. A win for Tuivasa keeps his UFC career alive after five straight losses. A victory for Teixeira moves him closer to ranked opposition and establishes him as a legitimate prospect.
Tuivasa currently holds a No. 12 ranking while Teixeira sits at No. 15 in the heavyweight division.
