TLDR
- Natalia Silva (-380 to -450) is a heavy favorite over Rose Namajunas (+275 to +340) at UFC 324
- Silva holds a perfect 7-0 UFC record and recently defeated two former champions
- Namajunas is taking this fight on short notice after Alex Grasso withdrew
- The fight is expected to go the distance with over 2.5 rounds heavily favored
- UFC 324 takes place Saturday, Jan. 24 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Main Event Odds
Rose Namajunas vs. Natalia Silva
- Natalia Silva: -380 to -450
- Rose Namajunas: +275 to +340
- Over 2.5 rounds: -475 to -590
- Under 2.5 rounds: +325 to +420
UFC 324 Fight Card Schedule
Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026 Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Main Card Start Times:
- 9:00 PM ET (Eastern)
- 6:00 PM PT (Pacific)
- 2:00 AM GMT (Sunday)
Prelims: 5:00 PM ET Broadcast: Paramount+ (full card, no PPV required)
Rose Namajunas vs Natalia Silva UFC 324 Odds Analysis
The women’s flyweight division takes center stage at UFC 324 as No. 2 ranked Natalia Silva faces No. 6 ranked Rose Namajunas. Silva enters as a heavy betting favorite with odds ranging from -380 to -450 across sportsbooks.
Namajunas finds herself in the underdog position with +275 to +340 odds. The former champion accepted this bout on short notice after original opponent Alex Grasso withdrew from the card.
Silva brings a perfect 7-0 UFC record into this fight. The 28-year-old Brazilian has won all seven bouts since joining the promotion in June 2022.
Her recent victories include wins over former champions Jessica Andrade and Alexa Grasso. A third consecutive win over a former champion could position Silva for a title shot.
Namajunas holds a 15-7 overall record with a 12-6 mark inside the UFC. The 33-year-old former strawweight champion moved up to flyweight in September 2023.
She comes off a unanimous decision win over Miranda Maverick. Namajunas has gone 3-2 in her last five fights in the 125-pound division.
Fighting Styles and Physical Attributes
Both fighters stand at similar heights with identical 65-inch reaches. Silva measures 5-foot-4 while Namajunas stands 5-foot-5.
Silva’s taekwondo background gives her an edge in kicking exchanges. She lands 5.04 significant strikes per minute with a 65% defense rate.
Her movement and footwork allow her to throw kicks without telegraphing. Silva absorbs just 2.46 strikes per minute compared to Namajunas’ 3.38.
Namajunas possesses world-class jiu jitsu skills with six submission victories. She takes a measured approach to striking and excels at takedown defense.
Her patient style allows opponents to make the first move. Namajunas looked sharp in her last fight against the physically imposing Maverick.
Betting Analysis and Predictions
The total rounds market heavily favors the over at -475 to -590. Both fighters have recent histories of going to decision.
Silva’s last four fights went the distance with a 4-0 record. Namajunas has gone to the judges in seven straight bouts with a 4-3 mark.
Method of victory odds favor Silva by decision at -180. Her finishing rate stands at 63% compared to Namajunas’ 53%.
The short training camp could impact Silva’s preparation. However, her high output style and superior cardio should carry through three rounds.
Silva’s unrelenting pace and striking volume give her the advantage. She remains active throughout fights without showing fatigue.
Namajunas’ championship experience and toughness will keep her competitive. Her ability to adjust game plans on short notice remains a question mark.
The betting markets suggest Silva will control the striking exchanges. Her movement and kick-heavy attack should accumulate points with the judges.
