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    UFC 322: Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez – Betting Odds and Fight Time & How To Watch

    Blanchfield favored at -260 over Cortez at UFC 322 with fight expected to go distance based on both fighters' durability.
    Sebastian BergmanBy Updated:No Comments4 Mins Read

    TLDR

    • Blanchfield enters as -260 favorite with 13-2 record, coming off win over Rose Namajunas
    • Cortez returns as +196 underdog with 12-2 record after losing to Namajunas in July
    • Fight pits Blanchfield’s striking volume and 80% takedown defense against Cortez’s 47% takedown accuracy
    • Both fighters ended long winning streaks with losses before recent rebounds
    • Odds heavily favor fight going to decision at -380 due to both fighters’ durability

    Full UFC 322 Fight Card Odds

    Main Card:

    Prelims:

    Early Prelims:

    Event Details:
    Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
    Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
    Main Card Start: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT / 3:00 AM GMT (Sunday)

    Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez Odds and Predictions for UFC 322

    Erin Blanchfield and Tracy Cortez meet in a women’s flyweight matchup on the prelim card of UFC 322 at Madison Square Garden. Both fighters aim to strengthen their positions in the competitive 125-pound division.

    Blanchfield enters ranked fourth with a 13-2 record. She stands 5’4″ with a 66-inch reach. The 26-year-old had won nine straight fights before losing a unanimous decision to Manon Fiorot in March 2024. She bounced back in November with a decision win over former champion Rose Namajunas.

    Cortez brings a 12-2 record into the bout, ranked eighth in the division. She measures 5’5″ with a 65-inch reach. The 31-year-old won 11 consecutive fights before her loss to Namajunas in July. She returned to form in June with a decision victory over Viviane Araujo.

    Striking and Grappling Stats

    Blanchfield throws 5.24 strikes per minute with 44% accuracy while absorbing 4.21. Her striking defense sits at 59%. She averages 1.86 takedowns per fight at 31% accuracy with 0.8 submission attempts per bout. Her takedown defense registers at 80%.

    Cortez lands 3.79 strikes per minute with 49% accuracy while absorbing 2.84. Her striking defense measures 57%. She averages 2.19 takedowns per fight at 47% accuracy with 0.3 submission attempts. Her takedown defense stands at 62%.

    The matchup features Blanchfield’s striking volume against Cortez’s wrestling persistence. Blanchfield holds advantages in output and takedown defense. Cortez brings superior takedown accuracy and tighter boxing combinations.

    Fighting Styles

    Blanchfield uses striking to set up grappling exchanges. She manages distance well and doesn’t waste energy. Her jab setups and defensive awareness have improved. She remains composed under pressure and adjusts during fights.

    Cortez works behind an effective jab and throws tight combinations. She places shots well during exiting angles. Her balance while striking allows clean sprawls and counter-wrestling. She scrambles effectively back to her feet when taken down.

    Betting Analysis

    The odds list Blanchfield at -260 and Cortez at +196. The betting lines reflect confidence in Blanchfield’s youth, explosiveness, and superior takedown defense. Her higher striking volume combined with defensive wrestling should neutralize Cortez’s primary weapon.

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    Cortez’s best path involves early boxing success and defensive grappling. If she controls the pace and lands takedowns, she can accumulate rounds. Her physical strength at 31 makes her dangerous in clinch situations.

    The fight going to decision sits at -380. Both fighters have proven durability and lack finishing ability. Blanchfield has less than a 50% finishing rate. Cortez has only two finishes across 14 career fights.

    Recent Form

    Blanchfield’s victory over Namajunas marked her second five-round fight. The win proved she could compete at championship level after the Fiorot setback. She has gone 7-1 since joining the UFC in 2021 with six consecutive wins and three finishes after entering the promotion.

    Cortez’s loss to Namajunas was her first five-round experience. She has maintained a 6-1 UFC record since joining in 2019. Against Araujo, she increased aggression in later rounds and landed three of five takedown attempts.

    A victory for either fighter significantly impacts divisional rankings. Cortez would move one fight away from a title opportunity with a win over the fourth-ranked Blanchfield. Blanchfield hopes to secure a title shot with victory here.

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    Sebastian is a seasoned sports journalist with a focus on MMA, boxing, and grappling. Having trained in BJJ & boxing, he brings a unique perspective that blends the insight of a journalist, the passion of a spectator, and the experience of a practitioner. His deep understanding of combat sports allows him to deliver informed, engaging coverage from every angle of the fight game.

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