TLDR
- Christian Leroy Duncan is a heavy favorite at -440 to -500, with Dolidze a big underdog at +340 to +385.
- Duncan is on a three-fight win streak, all by knockout; Dolidze is coming off a submission loss.
- Dolidze, 37, has a 15-4 record and is known for his durability and guard game.
- Duncan, 30, has the edge in striking accuracy, reach, and takedown defense.
- Duncan fights at home in London, which could add crowd momentum to his performance.
Main Event Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Movsar Evloev | -245 |
| Lerone Murphy | +200 |
Prop: Evloev to win by decision: -120 | Over 4.5 rounds: -345 | Under 4.5 rounds: +250
Full Card Odds
Main Card
Prelims
| Fighter | Odds | Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones | -118 | Axel Sola | -102 |
| Losene Keita | -238 | Nathaniel Wood | +195 |
| Mario Pinto | -900 | Felipe Franco | +600 |
| Mantas Kondratavicius | -800 | Antonio Trocoli | +550 |
| Brando Pericic | -270 | Louie Sutherland | +220 |
| Abdul Kareem Al-Selwady | -130 | Shem Rock | +110 |
| Shanelle Dyer | -470 | Ravena Oliveira | +360 |
| Luana Carolina | -130 | Melissa Mullins | +110 |
Fight Time & How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Venue: The O2 Arena, London, England
- Streaming: Paramount+
- Main Card Start Times:
- London (GMT): 7:00 PM
- New York (ET): 2:00 PM
- Los Angeles (PT): 11:00 AM
- Sydney (AEDT): 6:00 AM (Sunday)
Here's your full #UFCLondon card for Saturday… 🇬🇧 👊
Get your tickets 🎟️ ➡️ https://t.co/kAdIyW7a64 pic.twitter.com/vHRanoDcnJ
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) March 16, 2026
Dolidze vs. Duncan: Home Crowd, Heavy Odds and a Middleweight Showdown at UFC London
Roman Dolidze and Christian Leroy Duncan meet in a middleweight bout at the O2 Arena in London on Saturday, March 21, 2026. Duncan enters as a heavy betting favorite, with odds ranging from -440 to -500 depending on the book.
Dolidze comes in at +340 to +385. He is 37 years old with a career record of 15-4.
His last fight was a loss to Anthony Hernandez by rear naked choke in round four. Hernandez landed 120 of 187 total strikes in that fight.
Duncan is 30 years old and holds a record of 13-2. He is coming off three straight wins, all by knockout.
His most recent win came against Marco Tulio in round two via punch to the head. Duncan landed 50% of his significant strikes in that fight.
Both men stand 6’2″ and weigh in at 185 pounds. Duncan has a three-inch reach advantage at 79″ to Dolidze’s 76″.
Striking and Grappling Numbers
Duncan lands 4.60 significant strikes per minute compared to Dolidze’s 3.41. His striking accuracy is 58%, while Dolidze sits at 41%.
Dolidze absorbs 3.72 significant strikes per minute. Duncan absorbs 2.97.
On the ground, Dolidze is the more active wrestler, scoring takedowns at a rate of 0.99 per three rounds. Duncan’s takedown defense is 69%, compared to Dolidze’s 26%.
Dolidze is also the more active submission threat, attempting 0.8 per 15 minutes. Duncan attempts 0.5.
Fighting Styles
Dolidze is an orthodox fighter who tends to be aggressive early in fights. He relies on durability and has never been knocked out in his career.
Duncan is a switch-stance fighter known for fluid movement and combination striking at range. He has improved his defensive grappling in recent bouts.
Duncan will be fighting in front of a home crowd in England. His average fight time is 9:26, compared to Dolidze’s 12:48, suggesting Duncan tends to finish fights earlier.
Dolidze’s average fight time is longer, pointing to his ability to survive deep into bouts. At 37, his cardio has been flagged as a potential issue.
Duncan’s record includes wins over Eryk Anders and Marco Tulio. Dolidze’s best win came against Marvin Vettori.
Duncan’s last three finishes have all come by knockout, making him a consistent finishing threat heading into this fight.
