TLDR
- Michael Page (-185 to -192) is the clear favorite over Sam Patterson (+145 to +160)
- Page, 38, is 24-3 and coming off back-to-back UFC wins; this is his return to welterweight
- Patterson, 29, is 14-2-1 with four straight first-round knockout wins in the UFC
- Both fighters stand 6’3″ with nearly identical reaches; both are primarily strikers
- Most analysts predict Page wins by decision, possibly going over 2.5 rounds
Main Event Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Movsar Evloev | -245 |
| Lerone Murphy | +200 |
Prop: Evloev to win by decision: -120 | Over 4.5 rounds: -345 | Under 4.5 rounds: +250
Full Card Odds
Main Card
Prelims
| Fighter | Odds | Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones | -118 | Axel Sola | -102 |
| Losene Keita | -238 | Nathaniel Wood | +195 |
| Mario Pinto | -900 | Felipe Franco | +600 |
| Mantas Kondratavicius | -800 | Antonio Trocoli | +550 |
| Brando Pericic | -270 | Louie Sutherland | +220 |
| Abdul Kareem Al-Selwady | -130 | Shem Rock | +110 |
| Shanelle Dyer | -470 | Ravena Oliveira | +360 |
| Luana Carolina | -130 | Melissa Mullins | +110 |
Fight Time & How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Venue: The O2 Arena, London, England
- Streaming: Paramount+
- Main Card Start Times:
- London (GMT): 7:00 PM
- New York (ET): 2:00 PM
- Los Angeles (PT): 11:00 AM
- Sydney (AEDT): 6:00 AM (Sunday)
Here's your full #UFCLondon card for Saturday… 🇬🇧 👊
Get your tickets 🎟️ ➡️ https://t.co/kAdIyW7a64 pic.twitter.com/vHRanoDcnJ
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) March 16, 2026
Michael Page Returns to Welterweight to Face Hard-Hitting Sam Patterson at UFC London
Michael Page and Sam Patterson meet at the O2 Arena in London on Saturday, March 21, 2026. The welterweight bout is a featured undercard fight on UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy.
Page enters as the favorite, with odds ranging from -180 to -192 depending on the sportsbook. Patterson is the underdog at +145 to +160.
Page is 38 years old and holds a professional record of 24-3. He spent 10 years in Bellator before joining the UFC in 2024.
In the UFC, Page has gone 3-1. His wins include Kevin Holland, Shara Magomedov, and Jared Cannonier.
His most recent fight was a unanimous decision win over Cannonier in round 3. Page landed 29 of 55 significant strikes in that bout at 52% accuracy.
Page stands 6’3″ with a 79-inch reach. He lands 2.39 significant strikes per minute and absorbs just 1.68 per minute.
He defends 57% of significant strikes thrown at him. His takedown defense sits at 66%.
Sam Patterson’s Rise
Patterson is 29 years old with a record of 14-2-1. He joined the UFC via Dana White’s Contender Series in 2022.
After losing his UFC debut, he has won four straight fights — all by first-round knockout. His last win came over Trey Waters by right hook in round 1.
Patterson lands 3.89 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 3.93. He connects on 43% of his strikes and defends 49% of incoming shots.
His takedown completion rate is 85%, and he attempts 2.8 submissions per 15 minutes. Those numbers point to a well-rounded ground game.
The Matchup
Both fighters are the same height at 6’3″ with near-identical reaches. The fight figures to be a striking contest with Patterson’s ground skills as a wildcard.
Page has never been submitted in his career. His chin and composure under pressure are seen as key advantages over a longer fight.
Patterson has not gone past round 1 in any of his UFC wins. How he performs in rounds 2 and 3 is an open question.
The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds. The over is priced at +105 to +110, while the under sits at -135 to -140, reflecting the expectation that Page may drag the fight into later rounds.
Patterson’s two career losses both came in the first round, which analysts point to as a pattern of vulnerability when matched against higher-level opponents.
Page has not recorded a stoppage since his Bellator days. A KO/TKO for Page is priced at +175.
Page is currently ranked No. 13 at welterweight. A win here keeps him in contention in the division.
