TLDR
- King Green faces Terrance McKinney on the main card of UFC 329 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, July 11
- Green is listed as a +105 underdog while McKinney is favored at -135 despite Green’s three-fight winning streak
- McKinney has finished all 18 of his career wins and all 8 of his losses, with 25 of 26 fights ending before 1.5 rounds
- Green, 39, has won three straight fights and holds a 35-17-1 record across 53 professional fights
- Analysts predict Green’s durability and veteran experience will overcome McKinney’s explosive early offense if he survives the opening minutes
Sources: sports.yahoo.com | covers.com | sports.betmgm.com | mmamania.com
King Green will step into the octagon as an underdog Saturday night when he faces Terrance McKinney on the main card of UFC 329 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Current betting odds list Green at +105 while McKinney enters as the -135 favorite.
At 39 years old with 53 professional fights under his belt, Green continues to perform at a high level. The veteran lightweight has won three straight UFC fights, including two finish victories already in 2026.
Green holds a career record of 35-17-1 with one no contest. He has 12 knockout wins and 10 submission victories throughout his career.
McKinney’s All-or-Nothing Fighting Style
McKinney, 31, brings an 18-8 record into the contest. Every single one of his 18 professional wins has come by finish, while all eight of his losses have also ended inside the distance.
The pattern is even more extreme when looking at fight duration. McKinney has gone under 1.5 rounds in all 13 of his UFC fights and in 25 of his 26 professional bouts overall, a 96% rate.
💥 #UFC329 updated card: John Garza steps in on short notice to face Farid Basharat in place of Ethyn Ewing pic.twitter.com/0kioysglOT
— 3KFighting (@3KFighting) July 7, 2026
McKinney has won three of his last four fights but has only seen the second round twice in his entire 14-fight UFC career. His last victory after round one came in April 2018 on the regional scene.
Betting analysts describe McKinney as a “glass cannon” who relies on an explosive opening few minutes. If he cannot find an early finish, the tide typically turns quickly in his opponent’s favor.
Experience vs Youth at Lightweight
Green stands 5-foot-10 with a 71-inch reach, while McKinney also measures 5-foot-10 but has a 73.5-inch reach advantage. Despite being eight years younger, McKinney has far less high-level experience than Green.
Green recently rebounded from consecutive losses to Paddy Pimblett and Mauricio Ruffy. Both defeats raised questions about whether the longtime veteran was declining, but his three-fight winning streak has silenced those concerns.
His most recent victory came via submission, adding to his 10 career submission wins. Analysts point to this grappling ability as a potential path to victory if McKinney fades after an early blitz.
Green has consistently defeated unranked challengers while only losing to elite competition. His superior durability, cardio, and veteran savvy are viewed as advantages in the later stages of the fight.
McKinney’s explosive striking and finishing ability make him dangerous in the opening minutes. The southpaw striker is described as a sprinter who can overwhelm opponents on the feet or on the canvas.
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Betting props show Green by submission listed at +640, while McKinney by submission sits at +285. The total rounds prop has Over 1.5 at +275 and Under 1.5 at -375, reflecting McKinney’s historical tendency toward quick finishes.
Green by knockout is priced at +220, while McKinney by knockout stands at +195. Decision victories are considered unlikely, with Green by decision at +875 and McKinney by decision at +2100.
The fight takes place Saturday, July 11, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas as part of the UFC 329 main card.
