TLDR
- Evloev (19-0) is favored at -250; Murphy (17-0-1) is the underdog at +205
- This is a featherweight title eliminator — the winner likely faces Alexander Volkanovski in late 2026
- Evloev is a Greco-Roman wrestler; Murphy is a power striker with 8 KO wins in the UFC
- All nine of Evloev’s UFC wins have gone to decision; Murphy has finished opponents in the first round
- Murphy fights at home at the O2 Arena in London; the crowd is expected to strongly back him
Main Event Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Movsar Evloev | -245 |
| Lerone Murphy | +200 |
Prop: Evloev to win by decision: -120 | Over 4.5 rounds: -345 | Under 4.5 rounds: +250
Full Card Odds
Main Card
Prelims
| Fighter | Odds | Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones | -118 | Axel Sola | -102 |
| Losene Keita | -238 | Nathaniel Wood | +195 |
| Mario Pinto | -900 | Felipe Franco | +600 |
| Mantas Kondratavicius | -800 | Antonio Trocoli | +550 |
| Brando Pericic | -270 | Louie Sutherland | +220 |
| Abdul Kareem Al-Selwady | -130 | Shem Rock | +110 |
| Shanelle Dyer | -470 | Ravena Oliveira | +360 |
| Luana Carolina | -130 | Melissa Mullins | +110 |
Fight Time & How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Venue: The O2 Arena, London, England
- Streaming: Paramount+
- Main Card Start Times:
- London (GMT): 7:00 PM
- New York (ET): 2:00 PM
- Los Angeles (PT): 11:00 AM
- Sydney (AEDT): 6:00 AM (Sunday)
Here's your full #UFCLondon card for Saturday… 🇬🇧 👊
Get your tickets 🎟️ ➡️ https://t.co/kAdIyW7a64 pic.twitter.com/vHRanoDcnJ
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) March 16, 2026
Evloev vs. Murphy:
Two undefeated featherweights meet at UFC Fight Night 270 in London on March 21. Movsar Evloev of Russia carries a 19-0 record, while England’s Lerone Murphy is 17-0-1. Both men are 9-0 inside the UFC.
The fight is a title eliminator at 145 pounds. The winner is expected to face featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski later in 2026.
Evloev enters as the -250 favorite at DraftKings. Murphy is listed at +205. FanDuel has it slightly closer, with Evloev at -260 and Murphy at +196.
Evloev, 32, trains at American Top Team in Florida. He comes from a Greco-Roman wrestling base and has won his last three fights by unanimous decision — over Diego Lopes, Arnold Allen, and Aljamain Sterling.
Evloev’s Ground Game Is The Key
Evloev lands 4.67 takedowns per 15 minutes and converts 48% of his attempts. All nine of his UFC wins have gone to the judges. He has not finished an opponent since joining the promotion.
Murphy, 34, trains out of Manchester Top Team. He has 8 knockout wins in the UFC and finished Aaron Pico with a spinning back elbow at UFC 319 in August 2025.
Murphy has a 73.5-inch reach compared to Evloev’s 72.5 inches. He strikes at 54% accuracy and absorbs just 2.67 strikes per minute across his UFC career.
Murphy’s takedown defense sits at 51%, which analysts have flagged as a potential weakness against Evloev’s wrestling. However, Murphy has never been submitted in his career.
Home Crowd Could Be A Factor
Murphy fights in front of a home crowd at the O2 Arena in London. Evloev’s grinding style has drawn boos from fans in previous fights, including wins over Sterling and Allen.
Of the 19 combined UFC fights between these two, 16 have gone to decision. The odds for the fight going over 4.5 rounds are -345, reflecting that trend.
Murphy is 2-0 as an underdog in the UFC. His knockout of Pico came as a +115 underdog.
Evloev closed as a -258 favorite in his last fight against Sterling and won by unanimous decision, as expected.
Most analysts lean toward Evloev to win by decision. A minority back Murphy based on his finishing power and home advantage.
The main event is scheduled to begin at approximately 6:40 PM ET on March 21 and streams live on Paramount+.
