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UFC 266 Predictions: Uros Medic vs. Jalin Turner odds, analysis

UFC 266 Predictions: Uros Medic vs. Jalin Turner odds, analysis

Uros Medic

Uros Medic enters the octagon after a first-round TKO win back in March. Professionally, the 28-year-old is 7-0. All of his wins have come by finish (five knockouts and two submissions) and he has not needed more than 5:51 minutes to win a fight. His opponent, younger by two years, Jalin Turner is 10-5 professionally. Eight of his ten wins and three of his five losses have come by knockout. He is on a two-fight winning streak where he finished both opponents in the second round.

Medic vs. Turner Betting Odds

Currently, Medic and Turner are at pick’em odds which means the bookmakers have this fight dead even.

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Medic vs. Turner Breakdown

Medic cut his teeth in the AFC circuit for 5 fights before getting a shot on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2020. The DWCS match went similarly to his AFC bouts- Medic came out fast, angry, and dangerous. He finished the fight in 2:12. That quick finishing ability is what makes Medic such an exciting prospect. He has dynamite in his hands, precision to find the chin, and a killer instinct to get the finish as fast as possible. Because he only has two UFC fights, his stats are skewed; but, it is still insanely impressive that in two UFC fights he’s averaged 19 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing .5. In his most recent fight, Medic showed an ability to stuff takedowns and maneuver against a fluid fighter with evasive footwork. In short, he passed the UFC’s test and proved his hype is real.

Turner, although the man with more professional and UFC experience, is younger by two years. He, too, earned a UFC contract on DWCS back in 2018 with a first-round stoppage. Since then, he is 3-2 in the UFC with all three wins coming by finish. He also has solid power, a long and rangy style, and a stiff 1-2 combination. He tends to stay at his punching range, using his length well and unloads rapid punches without sacrificing technique. Despite his salty record, Turner is an athletic striker who also looks for finishes. However, Turner can be clipped himself and if an opponent can close the gap, his chin can be compromised. That is easier said than done, at 6’3, a 75” reach, and a positive strike differential, Turner is adept at keeping his range where he can hunt the finish.

Medic vs. Turner Prediction

Full transparency, when this fight was announced, I expected Medic to be a larger favorite. He has the edge in power, can match Turner’s speed, has the hype of another first-round finish. While Turner is better than his record, unless Medic has a weaker chin than he’s shown, I don’t see how Turner wins. Medic’s big question is if he can survive a three-round war; but, with the kill or be killed style of each fighter, I don’t see this fight testing Medic’s cardio. Instead, I anticipate someone hitting the canvas inside the distance. I’m betting on the fighter with more power and against the one with the weaker chin.

Prediction: Medic inside the distance

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