TLDR
- Ailin Perez enters as the betting favorite at -138 over Norma Dumont at +115 for their September 26 bout
- Perez rides a six-fight UFC winning streak, all by decision, including a February victory over Macy Chiasson
- Dumont comes off a loss to Joselyne Edwards in April but has faced tougher competition throughout her career
- Perez’s wrestling and clinch control will face Dumont’s size advantage and striking experience
- Most predictions favor Perez by decision based on her recent form and grappling ability
Sources: sports.betmgm.com | lowkickmma.com | clutchpoints.com
Norma Dumont and Ailin Perez will meet in a women’s bantamweight bout on September 26 at the Meta Apex in Enterprise, Nevada. The fight takes place on the Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Raoni Barcelos card at UFC Fight Night 289.
Ailin Perez enters as the betting favorite at around -138, while Dumont sits at approximately +115. The odds have moved closer to Dumont since the betting lines opened earlier this week.
Perez brings a 13-2 professional record and has won six straight UFC fights. Her winning streak started after a promotional debut loss to Stephanie Egger in September 2022.
Her most recent victory came over Macy Chiasson by unanimous decision in February. In that fight, Perez secured six takedowns and controlled her opponent for over seven and a half minutes.
Perez has also defeated Karol Rosa, Darya Zheleznyakova, Joselyne Edwards, Lucie Pudilova, and Ashlee Evans-Smith during her current streak. All six of her recent UFC wins have come by decision.
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Dumont’s Recent Record and Experience
Norma Dumont enters with a 13-3 record overall and a 9-3 mark inside the UFC. She had her five-fight winning streak snapped in April 2026 with a unanimous decision loss to Joselyne Edwards.
Before that loss, Dumont edged Ketlen Vieira by split decision in November 2025. Throughout her UFC career, she has faced tougher competition than her opponent.
Dumont’s resume includes fights against Irene Aldana, Germaine de Randamie, Karol Rosa, Aspen Ladd, and Ketlen Vieira. She has won 11 of her 13 professional bouts by decision.
The Brazilian fighter stands five centimeters taller than Perez and owns a one-inch reach advantage. She typically performs best when she can establish a steady striking rhythm and use the clinch effectively.
Fight Strategy and Predictions
Perez’s path to victory relies on her wrestling and clinch control. She will likely push forward from the opening bell looking to secure takedowns and neutralize Dumont’s reach advantage.
Dumont’s best chance comes from maintaining distance and forcing extended striking exchanges. Her size and experience against ranked opponents make her a live underdog in this matchup.
Most analysts predict Perez will win by decision. Her work in the clinch and on the mat should create enough control time to win two rounds on the scorecards.
Dumont’s durability and methodical style make a finish unlikely for either fighter. Both women have shown a tendency to take fights to the judges throughout their careers.
For bettors, Perez is considered playable near -135 or better. At -140 or higher, the value becomes questionable given Dumont’s size, experience, and defensive wrestling ability.
Dumont becomes an interesting underdog pick at +125 or longer. Her current best listed price is +133, which represents better value than her opening line of +108.
