TLDR
- Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett serves as the co-main event at UFC 329 on July 11 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
- Pimblett is coming off the first loss of his UFC career against Justin Gaethje
- Saint Denis enters as the betting favorite at -145 with a four-fight win streak
- Saint Denis holds the highest strike accuracy in UFC lightweight history at 61.5%
- Experts predict Saint Denis will win by decision in the three-round lightweight bout
Sources: sports.yahoo.com
Benoit Saint Denis and Paddy Pimblett will meet in the co-main event at UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The lightweight matchup features Pimblett attempting to rebound from the first loss of his UFC career.
Saint Denis enters the bout as the betting favorite at -145, while Pimblett comes in as the underdog at +120. The French fighter brings a four-fight win streak into the contest.
Pimblett suffered his first UFC defeat in a hard-fought battle against Justin Gaethje, who went on to become lightweight champion. The loss marked a turning point for the Liverpool fighter, who had built his reputation on an undefeated UFC record before that bout.
Tale of the Tape
Saint Denis stands 5-foot-11 with a 73-inch reach and holds a professional record of 17-3. The 30-year-old has finished six fights by knockout and 10 by submission throughout his career.
Pimblett, 31, measures 5-foot-10 with an identical 73-inch reach. His overall record stands at 23-4, with seven knockout victories and 11 submission wins.
💥 #UFC329 updated card: John Garza steps in on short notice to face Farid Basharat in place of Ethyn Ewing pic.twitter.com/0kioysglOT
— 3KFighting (@3KFighting) July 7, 2026
Saint Denis owns the highest strike accuracy in UFC lightweight history at 61.5%. His 11 submission victories suggest he possesses the skills to challenge Pimblett both standing and on the ground.
Betting Lines and Predictions
The betting odds favor Saint Denis to win by decision at +475, which represents the best value according to betting analysts. A knockout victory for Saint Denis is priced at +450, while a submission win sits at +600.
For Pimblett, a knockout victory is listed at +295, matching the odds for a submission win at +295. His decision victory is priced at +450.
The total rounds line is set at 2.5, with the over at +135 and the under at -175. This suggests oddsmakers expect the fight to reach the judges’ scorecards.
Experts point to Saint Denis’ relentless pace and striking accuracy as key advantages in the matchup. Pimblett’s willingness to trade strikes could play into the French fighter’s strengths.
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The three-round format may benefit Pimblett, who demonstrated his durability against Gaethje. His ability to absorb punishment and continue fighting could help him survive to the final bell.
Saint Denis has seen his moneyline odds climb since the fight was announced as bettors back his recent form. Pimblett faces questions about his ability to bounce back from the physical war with Gaethje.
The fight takes place at 155 pounds in the UFC’s lightweight division. Both fighters bring identical 73-inch reaches to the octagon, eliminating any range advantage for either competitor.
