TLDR
- Jasudavicius is a heavy -305 favorite over Silva for their April 18, 2026 UFC Fight Night matchup
- Oddsmakers give Jasudavicius a 72.2% implied probability of victory compared to 27.8% for Silva
- Decision betting favors Jasudavicius at -165 with an 80.2% probability if the fight goes to the scorecards
- Jasudavicius has won five straight UFC fights against Brazilian opponents
- Both fighters are coming off losses in their most recent bouts, with Jasudavicius losing to Fiorot and Silva losing to Barber
| Fight | Fighter 1 | Odds | Fighter 2 | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Event | Gilbert Burns | +245 | Mike Malott | -305 |
| Co-Main | Kyler Phillips | +130 | Charles Jourdain | -155 |
| Main Card | Mandel Nallo | -180 | Jai Herbert | +150 |
| Main Card | Jasmine Jasudavicius | -310 | Karine Silva | +250 |
| Main Card | Thiago Moises | +110 | Gauge Young | -130 |
Fight Time – UFC Winnipeg (April 18, 2026)
| Time Zone | Main Card Start |
|---|---|
| ET (New York) | 10:00 PM |
| CT (Winnipeg/Chicago) | 9:00 PM |
| MT (Denver) | 8:00 PM |
| PT (Los Angeles) | 7:00 PM |
| GMT (London) | 3:00 AM (April 19) |
| AEST (Sydney) | 1:00 PM (April 19) |
Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Canada
Up next… UFC Winnipeg 🔥
1–10, how good is this card? 👀
📸: @Match_Maker_MMA#UFCWinnipeg #MMATwitter pic.twitter.com/g10NHbL7qb
— The Fight Fanatic (@FightFanatic_) April 13, 2026
Jasudavicius vs Silva Betting
Jasmine Jasudavicius will enter her UFC Fight Night matchup against Karine Silva as a heavy favorite when the two fighters meet on Saturday, April 18, 2026. The bout is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
According to DraftKings, Jasudavicius is listed at -305 on the moneyline, while Silva comes in as the underdog at +245. With the vig removed, these odds give Jasudavicius a 72.2% implied probability of winning the fight, compared to just 27.8% for Silva.
Multiple sportsbooks have posted similar lines for the matchup. Some outlets have Jasudavicius favored even more heavily at -298, which translates to a 71.8% win probability.
Historical data shows Jasudavicius has performed well against Brazilian opponents in the UFC. She has won five straight UFC fights against fighters from Brazil, which could explain the confidence oddsmakers have in her chances against Silva.
Betting Markets Favor Decision Win for Jasudavicius
Beyond the standard moneyline, sportsbooks have posted odds on various methods of victory. The decision market shows Jasudavicius at -165 to win by decision, giving her an 80.2% probability of winning if the fight goes to the judges’ scorecards.
Silva’s odds to win by decision sit at +550, translating to just a 19.8% chance. This suggests bettors and oddsmakers expect Jasudavicius to control the fight if it reaches the final bell.
For submission victories, Jasudavicius is listed at +550 with a 58.1% probability. Silva’s submission odds are +800, giving her a 41.9% chance to win via submission if that method of victory occurs.
The knockout market shows Jasudavicius at +900 with a 60% probability, while Silva sits at +1400 with a 40% chance. These longer odds suggest a knockout finish is considered less likely for either fighter.
Recent Form Shows Mixed Results for Both Fighters
Jasudavicius enters the fight coming off a difficult loss to Manon Fiorot at UFC Fight Night in Vancouver on October 18. The fight ended quickly, with Fiorot stopping Jasudavicius via TKO at just 1:14 of the first round.
However, before that setback, Jasudavicius scored an impressive victory over former champion Jessica Andrade. She submitted Andrade with a rear-naked choke at 2:40 of Round 1 at UFC 315 in Montreal on May 10.
Silva has also experienced ups and downs in her recent outings. She lost to Maycee Barber via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in Las Vegas on December 6, with all three judges scoring the fight 30-27, 29-28, and 29-28 for Barber.
Prior to that loss, Silva defeated Dione Barbosa via unanimous decision at UFC 319 in Chicago on August 16. All three judges scored that fight 29-28 in Silva’s favor, indicating it was a close contest.
No line movement has been recorded yet for this matchup across any of the betting markets. The odds remain stable as the April 18 fight date approaches.
