TLDR
- Quillan Salkilld enters as heavy favorite at -1000 to -1100 against Jamie Mullarkey’s +600 to +675 underdog odds
- Fight opens UFC 325 main card on January 31 at Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia
- Salkilld rides 8-fight win streak with elite wrestling (7.77 takedowns per fight, 100% takedown defense)
- Mullarkey is experienced veteran at 18-8 but has won only 2 of last 5 fights
- Most bets project early finish with under 1.5 rounds at -160 to -170
UFC 325 Main Event Odds
Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes (Featherweight Championship)
- Alexander Volkanovski: TBD
- Diego Lopes: TBD
All UFC 325 Fight Odds
Main Card (9:30 p.m. ET)
Prelims (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Justin Tafa vs Billy Elekana (Heavyweight)
- Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage (Middleweight)
- Jacob Malkoun vs Torrez Finney (Middleweight)
- Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott (Welterweight)
Early Prelims (5:30 p.m. ET)
- Kaan Ofli vs Yi Zha (Featherweight)
- Kim Sang-wook vs Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight)
- Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sebastian Szalay (Featherweight)
- Sulangrangbo vs Lawrence Lui (Bantamweight)
- Aaron Tau vs Namsrai Batbayar (Flyweight)
Fight Time Information
Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Main Card Start: 9:30 p.m. ET / 6:30 p.m. PT / 1:30 a.m. GMT (Feb 1)
- Salkilld vs Mullarkey Walk Time: Approximately 9:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia
- Broadcast: Paramount+
The UFC 325 main card opener features an all-Australian lightweight matchup between rising prospect Quillan Salkilld and veteran Jamie Mullarkey. The fight takes place at Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney on January 31, 2026.
Salkilld enters the bout as a massive betting favorite. His odds range from -1000 at BetMGM to -1100 at FanDuel. Mullarkey sits as a heavy underdog with odds between +600 and +675 depending on the sportsbook.
The 25-year-old Salkilld brings a 10-1 record into the octagon. He has won eight consecutive fights and finished 2025 with a perfect 3-0 UFC record. His most recent victory came via head-kick knockout against Nasrat Haqparast, earning him a performance bonus.
Salkilld holds elite wrestling credentials with 7.77 takedowns per 15 minutes. His takedown defense stands at a perfect 100%, meaning he has never been taken down in the UFC. He also averages 5.49 strikes landed per minute with 57% accuracy.
Mullarkey carries an 18-8 professional record into the fight. The 30-year-old has competed in the UFC since 2019, compiling a 6-6 record with the promotion. He has won only two of his last five fights, with losses to Muhammad Naimov, Haqparast, and Mauricio Ruffy.
The New South Wales native bounced back from consecutive losses with a unanimous decision win over Rolando Bedoya in his last outing. Mullarkey landed three takedowns in that fight and controlled the grappling exchanges despite being out-struck.
Easy money or a trap?
Quillan Salkilld by KO is only -125 against Jamie Mullarkey pic.twitter.com/VXxsQeiCn8
— DFS By The Numbers (@dfs_numbers) January 30, 2026
Physical Matchup and Fighting Styles
Both fighters stand six feet tall with similar reach. Salkilld has a 75-inch reach compared to Mullarkey’s 74-inch reach. Both fight from an orthodox stance, which should create clean striking lanes.
Mullarkey holds advantages in experience and striking defense. His 54% striking defense rate surpasses Salkilld’s 43% rate. The veteran has competed in 26 total fights compared to Salkilld’s 11 professional bouts.
Salkilld’s wrestling presents the key stylistic advantage. His 7.77 takedowns per fight against Mullarkey’s 78% takedown defense creates a massive gap. Once on the ground, Salkilld’s ground-and-pound finishing ability becomes dangerous.
Mullarkey averages 4.20 strikes landed per minute with 46% accuracy. He has scored 10 knockout victories and three submission wins throughout his career. His finishing rate of 72% slightly edges Salkilld’s 70% rate.
Betting Markets and Predictions
The fight going the distance offers odds of +400 to +490. The fight not going the distance sits at -700 to -800. These lines suggest bookmakers expect an early finish.
The total rounds over/under is set at 1.5. The over pays +125 to +130 while the under sits at -160 to -170. Most betting action favors the under, projecting a finish in the first or second round.
Salkilld by KO/TKO offers the best value at -130 to -170. His ground-and-pound ability should overwhelm Mullarkey once the fight hits the mat. Salkilld by submission pays +225 to +260, offering value if grappling exchanges produce a finish.
Mullarkey by KO/TKO sits at +1300 to +1600. His submission odds reach +2700 to +3000. A Mullarkey decision victory pays +1400 to +1500.
Most experts predict Salkilld wins via TKO in the second round. The projection sees Salkilld landing clean combinations early before securing takedowns. His ground strikes should accumulate damage until the referee stops the fight.
