Alexa Grasso became the first Mexican women's UFC champion folowing her submission win against Valentina Shevcheno at UFC 285 (Zuffa LLC)

A rematch between Alexa Grasso and Valentina Shevchenko has been confirmed by UFC president Dana White, setting the stage for another thrilling UFC Women’s Flyweight Championship fight.

In their first bout at UFC 285, Grasso shocked the world by submitting the long-reigning champion Shevchenko in the fourth round. Despite being a significant underdog, Grasso (+750) capitalized on a poorly executed spinning back kick by Shevchenko (-600), taking her back and securing a rear-naked choke that led to Shevchenko’s first submission loss in the UFC.

Speaking at the latest UFC post-fight press conference, White confirmed plans for the rematch, although a specific timeline or location has yet to be announced.

As always, as we approach the event, be sure to check out our UFC predictions page for expert opinions and analysis. You can also subscribe to our free email newsletter for exclusive predictions and betting tips.

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Alexa Grasso celebrates her fourth-round submission victory against Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 285 (Zuffa LLC)
Alexa Grasso celebrates her fourth-round submission victory against Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 285 (Zuffa LLC)

Grasso vs. Shevchenko Rematch Betting Odds

The betting odds for the rematch are as follows:

FighterOddsBookmaker
Grasso+160BetUS
Shevchenko-240BetUS

These odds imply that Shevchenko is the favorite, with a bet of $240 needed to win $100. Conversely, a bet of $100 on Grasso would yield $160 if she wins.

For our international readers, these odds translate to 6/4 (Grasso) and 5/12 (Shevchenko) in fractional format, and 2.60 and 1.42 in decimal format, respectively.

Special Offer: Sign up to BetUS today and get an exclusive sign-up offer worth up to $2,500

How to Bet on the Fight

To place a bet on the fight, follow these steps:

  1. Visit BetUS and sign up for an account. New users can get a sign-up bonus worth up to $2,500 by using our link.
  2. Navigate to the UFC/MMA section.
  3. Find the Grasso vs. Shevchenko fight.
  4. Select the fighter you want to bet on and the type of bet you want to place.
  5. Enter your stake and confirm your bet.

First Fight Breakdown

Let’s take a look at the statistics from the first fight:

StatisticShevchenkoGrasso
Knockdowns (KD)00
Significant Strikes (SIG. STR.)87 of 14559 of 181
Significant Strike Percentage60%32%
Total Strikes (TOTAL STR.)167 of 228182 of 308
Takedowns (TD)4 of 60 of 2
Takedown Percentage (TD %)66%0%
Submission Attempts (SUB. ATT)01
Reversals (REV.)00
Control Time (CTRL)5:241:22

From the statistics, it’s clear that Valentina Shevchenko had the upper hand in significant strikes, with 60% accuracy compared to Alexa Grasso’s 32%.

Shevchenko also took advantage with takedowns, achieving 4 successful takedowns out of 6 attempts, while Grasso didn’t land any of her 2 attempts.

In terms of control time, Shevchenko dominated with over 5 minutes of control, compared to just over a minute by Grasso.

However, Grasso’s ability to capitalize on Shevchenko’s mistake and secure a rear-naked choke submission in the fourth round was the decisive factor.

Alexa Grasso locks in the rear-naked choke against Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 285 (Zuffa LLC)
Alexa Grasso locks in the rear-naked choke against Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 285 (Zuffa LLC)

Career Stats Breakdown

Now let’s dive into the career statistics of each fighter:

Tale of the Tape

StatisticShevchenkoGrasso
Record23-4-016-3-0
Height5′ 5″5′ 5″
Weight125 lbs.125 lbs.
Reach66″66″
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
DOBMar 07, 1988Aug 09, 1993

Striking

StatisticAlexa GrassoValentina Shevchenko
SLpM4.883.29
Str. Acc.43%53%
SApM4.071.99
Str. Def.59%63%

Grasso lands more significant strikes per minute (SLpM) than Shevchenko, but Shevchenko has higher striking accuracy and defense. This indicates that while Grasso has historically been more aggressive, Shevchenko is more precise and better at avoiding strikes. This was the case in the first fight, as well.

Grappling

StatisticAlexa GrassoValentina Shevchenko
TD Avg.0.382.57
TD Acc.44%64%
TD Def.61%72%
Sub. Avg.0.60.3

Shevchenko has historically had the upper hand in grappling, with a higher takedown average, accuracy, and defense. However, Grasso has a higher submission average, which was evident in their first fight when she submitted Shevchenko.

In summary, while Shevchenko has the edge in grappling and control, Grasso’s striking and submission skills make her a formidable opponent. All statistics have been sourced from UFC Stats.

Final Thoughts

The rematch between Grasso and Shevchenko promises to be an exciting bout and both sides of the betting odds are equally enticing. Shevchenko looked outstanding for most of the first fight and represents decent value this time at -260. For those who believe Grasso can get the job done again, you can take her as an underdog this time around.

If you’re interested in betting on the fight, check out the latest odds on BetUS. Remember, new users can get a sign-up bonus worth up to $2,500.

We’d love to hear your thoughts on the upcoming fight. Leave your predictions in the comments section below.

Special Offer: Sign up to BetUS today and get an exclusive sign-up offer worth up to $2,500

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